If
it is a standard mailing that he has been doing in the past, he
probably has some history to fall back on. If not, hell
have to wait until you see what the first drop did before committing to the second.
Even if he does have some history, the condition and source of his list, seasonality,
and other factors can act to effect response rates. But heres my point---
in my experience he should expect no more than a 15 to 20% increase in response
from a second identical mailing.
It can be really tough to achieve adequate
returns with duplicate mailings. If
the prospect discarded your offer the first time, they will most likely trash
it the second too. A better strategy might be to send different mailers to the
same list over a longer period of time, with different features and benefits
spelled out that might better appeal to non-responders to the first mailing.
I have never considered saving money on printing to be a reason to mail or not,
as postage has almost always been the bigger expense item.
There are also some crazy things that can happen with closely timed identical
direct
mail. Some prospects may be irked by the second contact, especially of they
ordered off the first mailing. They may also become concerned that their order
was lost or not processed properly--- not a feeling you want new customers to
have. So Im not a big fan of identical follow-up mailings over a short
time span--- such as those done just two or three weeks after the first mailing.
A lot of times, it can take a lot longer than 2 weeks to determine exactly how
profitable your mailing will be, even if using a doubling date in your calculations.
A mailings doubling date is that that point in time when exactly 50% of
the returns for the mailing can be expected to have been received. So if your
normal doubling date is 21 days, then on the 21st day after the first response
is received you will have received half of all business you will get from that
mailing. The rest will trickle in over a period of months and even a year unless
there is a hard deadline built into your offer. This assumes all pieces are mailed
on the same day and reach the prospect about the same time. This can be difficult
to determine if you are using bulk mail.
Of course if you are doing email, everything changes. Since you have no postage
or printing expense, your risk is proportionately lower. I always advise my clients
to work hard to get the email addresses of at least their customers and as many
prospects as they can. Email campaigns can be a great adjunct to snail mailings
to help boost response by creating a synergy between the two. Again, however,
I would caution against too frequent mailings lest you be accused of spamming
your customer or prospect list!
Direct Mail Strategy:
More viable approaches to increasing short-term response rates might include
running radio or TV spots, newspaper ads, or a telemarketing campaign in support
of your mailing. Still another is to do split mailings with different copy mailed
on the same day to every other name on the list to see which one pulls better,
then abandoning the lesser performing package for future mailings.